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Sunday, November 22, 2009

StockWatch (Nov 23-27, 2009): PSEi

PSEi( Chart: Daily Resistance: 3083 Support: 3000/2970)

The index plunged further on the first trading day for last week, but it was able to recoup its losses by Wed and Thurs. The index is unable to move further beyond the previous high which suggests weakness in the index. Also looking at the RSI, there is a bearish divergence formed, with the index moving higher but the RSI is having a lower peak, so expect the index to move down to sideways again for this week. It is possible that the index may be ranging between 3083 and 2970. If support at 2970 holds, then this would probably be an opportunity to range trade some stocks.

Sunday, November 15, 2009

StockWatch (Nov 16-20, 2009): PSEi, BDO

PSEi (Chart: Daily Resistance: 3070 Support: 2970)

The index brokeout from the monthlong sideways movement and it is accompanied by relatively larger value turnover. As of current, the index is overbought according to the RSI and the market reacted accordingly to this last Friday where a selldown happened. For the coming week expect the downward to sideways movement to continue. Watchout for support at 2970, that would probably be a good time to buy if support holds at that level.


BDO Weekly Chart

BDO (Chart : Daily Resistance: 39 Support: 36.50)
BDO seems to have broken out of a big ascending triangle formed from July 2009. The breakout created gap up with a large volume. The weekly chart also confirms the breakout. Target price is at 43. Currently there seems to be a resistance at 39.50 which is a previous gap from Sep 2008. This might be affected by possible sideways to downward movement of the market, so do watch out if support at 36.50 holds.

Sunday, November 08, 2009

StockWatch (Nov 9-13, 2009): PSEi, BPC, FGEN

PSEi (Chart: Daily Resistance: 2970/3000 Support: 2905/2850)

The index is still on a sideways movement for the past two weeks and the break of the 3000 that I was expecting did not happen. As of current the index is moving within a small range of 2905 and 2970. The MACD seems to suggest an impending crossover from the signal line and this we’d have to wait and see if it will bring more buying in the market to nudge the index from always moving sideways.


BPC (Chart: Daily Resistance: 4.20/ 4.90 Support: 3.70)

BPC had a breakout from a symmetrical triangle. Target price for this stock is around 4.90/5.00. There was large volume on the breakout, but it was followed by a sell down the following day also with significant volume. There was a lack of follow through buying which is quite bothering. MACD is bullishly opening upwards, but the RSI suggests overbought condition. It is possible that this stock may move down to sideways next week. As long as the stock does not go below support at 3.70, this stock is still good to play.

FGEN (Chart :Daily Resistance: 19 Support: 16.75)
FGEN also brokeout from a symmetrical triangle with a very large volume. Target price for the stock is around 23. Watchout for upcoming resistance at 19.00 which is a previous high.

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