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Monday, November 12, 2007

StockWatch (Nov 12-16, 2007): PSEi, LCB, APXB, PEP, JFC

PSEi (Chart: Daily Resistance: 3800 Support: 3650/3620/3520)


The index suffered another plunge last Thursday following after the Dow 200 points plunge. As of last Friday Dow took yet another 200 pts plunge after other financial institutions have also started to announce their losses from the Subprime crisis. This recent plunge will definitely be felt this week in our index. As of current we are seeing a bearish divergence forming with the RSI, however, this is still not confirmed as the trough has not yet formed. The symmetrical triangle I have noted before is still intact after the plunge last Thursday and I expect that this will be broken come Monday. Next support levels are 3650 (23.6% Fib retracement), 3620 (previous low) and 3520 (previous low of the gap up last Sept and at the same time, the 38.2% fib retracement). Aside from the above mentioned support levels, another thing to watch out is the MACD crossing below the center line. If this happens, then we may see further downward movement.


LCB(Chart: Daily Resistance: 0.50 Support: 0.42)

LC and LCB surprisingly gapped up with a big upward spread and were accompanied by large volume. This gap up has broken LC/LCB’s long standing downward trend. However, there is something that is not so good on this breakout, for LCB, the wicker of the candle for the breakout day was larger than the body, while for LC, the price opened and closed on the same level. This means there is still strong resistance along the way up. What may probably be good to know is that even if there is strong resistance along the way, there was a large volume on the breakout which may translate to a very strong support level. For LCB, there is still an upcoming resistance at 0.50 which is the previous high from 2005. A thing to watch out though is the MACD, this stock has now formed a higher high, and the MACD needs to follow. If this does not happen, then this is a warning sign for an upcoming bearish action.

APXB (Chart: Daily Resistance: 7 Support: 6.30)

APX/APXB has a similar situation with LC/LCB. The recent breakout from the longstanding resistance line was accompanied with volume. Price formed a higher high and MACD needs to follow. If MACD is not able to form a higher high, then this might be a bearish indicator. For both APX/APXB and LC/LCB, considering the plunge in Dow last Friday, it is highly likely that these stocks would be sold down and if it does, a bearish divergence may form.

PEP (Chart: Daily Resistance: 0.94 /0.98 Support: 0.75/0.72)

This one I think was pointed out in the Absolute Trader’s forum by Yeahbah. PEP brokeout from the inverted head and shoulder formation with a large volume and spread. Target is around 1.10. This is currently doing a return move to re-test the resistance turned support at 0.75. It’s a wait-and-see what will happen by next week considering the recent events in the US market. If price bounces from support, this would be a good time to buy.

JFC (Chart: Daily Resistance: 51 Support: 47)

JFC is a candidate for range trading. Price level at 47 is a support level and may expect a bounce from that level as RSI below 30 is very much oversold right now. Entry at 47, sell at 50, cutloss at 46.50.

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