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Sunday, July 01, 2012

StockWatch (Jul 01-06, 2012): PSEi


PSEi (Chart: Daily      Resistance: 5330         Support: 5180/4860)

Just as we are getting the hang of the ranging movement of the index, the index made an unexpected move last week, where instead of following the ranging movement that it has been doing, it broke above the channel area pattern.

As of Thursday and Friday last week, the index has created a new resistance level, almost reaching the previous high created last May.

So what is the index now up to?  Couples of area patterns are fitting the current conditions of the index. The very evident is a possible big and wide ranging movement.   Second that I could see is a possible cup and handle formation, a bullish continuation pattern, considering the previous trend is upward. The third is a possible double top formation if the index is unable to go beyond the previous high.

All of the possible area patterns that can be matched for the index’s current situation have something in common, that is, its next movement would be a downward movement. So expect further downward movement next week.  Succeeding downward movement will eliminate one by one the 3 patterns that matched the current conditions. 

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